What are PM Kadhimi’s prospects of remaining in office?

Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi’s bid to secure a second term in office witnessed a major setback after Muqtada al-Sadr’s occupation of parliament backfired, and the Sunni and Kurdish components of the Tripartite Alliance broke away from their pact with the Sadrist Movement. So what remains of Kadhimi’s chances of staying in office? We consider three possible scenarios: